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Current Desk Standings for the Awards

INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS AWARD STANDINGS as of 11/17/2017

  1. (1) Matt Pologe
  2. (3) Madison Nowlin
  3. (2) Maeve Stewart

* Only the top three analysts are listed. Brackets contain last week’s placements.


INTELLIGENCE FORECAST AWARD STANDINGS as of 11/03/2017

  1. 2  (0)   Madison Nowlin
  2. 0  (0)   Anthony Hess
  3. (0)   Katelyn Montrief
  4. (0)   Matt Pologe
  5. 0  (0)   Allison Reilly
  6. (0)   Maeve Stewart

* Brackets contain last week’s scores


PREDICTIONS BY DATE (most recent first) as of 11/03/2017

2017 1112 | Madison Nowlin | PENDING
The Russian government will announce new legislation concerning American media in Russia before Monday, November 20, 2017.

2017 1110 | Maeve Stewart | PENDING
By the end of this November 2017, there will be more flyers posted on Coastal’s campus regarding the white race and/or white supremacy.

2017 1109 | Madison Nowlin | PENDING
The meeting outlined below will increase tensions between the two leaders after discussion on Syria.

2017 1109 | Madison Nowlin | SUCCESSFUL
Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will meet one-on-one in Vietnam during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation leaders’ meeting.

2017 1101 | Matthew Pologe | PENDING
The DPRK will either launch a missile, or conduct a nuclear test, by November 14, 2017.

2017 1026 | Maeve Stewart | PENDING
There will be an organized far-right event before 11/25/2017, that will result in people being sent to the hospital.

2017 1024 | Stosh Hess | PENDING
The 19th Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee will choose Xi Jinping to lead as President for the next five years.


PREDICTIONS BY DATE (most recent first) in the Spring 2017 semester FINAL

2017 0413 | Matt Pologe | Asia | UNSUCCESSFUL
The DPRK will utilize their Punggye-ri command center for a launch or test on Kim Il- sung’s birthday on April 15.

2017 0413 | Kiersten Chambers | Americas | UNSUCCESSFUL
Venezuela will announce that it will leave the Organization of American States and Mercosur by April 18, 2017.

2017 0413 | Troy Ramsbacher | East/South Europe | SUCCESSFUL
There will be a terrorist-style attack in Turkey by April 18, 2017.

2017 0413 | Troy Ramsbacher | East/South Europe | SUCCESSFUL
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan will win the ‘Yes’ vote in the April 16th Referendum.

2017 0412 | Dylan Fleming | East/South Europe | SUCCESSFUL
Due to the high tensions over the Syrian conflict, the US will not place further sanctions on Russia by April 18.

2017 0409 | Matt Pologe | Asia | SUCCESSFUL
North Korea will attempt to launch another missile/projectile by April 18.

2017 0330 | Jake Mansfield | Africa | UNSUCCESSFUL
By April 13, at least 25 Central Africans, or foreign aid workers, will be killed in the country by armed rebel factions.

2017 0330 | Jake Mansfield | Africa | UNSUCCESSFUL
The United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic (UNMISCA) will receive less than 20% of its humanitarian needs, valued at $399.5 million, by April 16.

2017 0329 | Troy Ramsbacher | East/South Europe | SUCCESSFUL
The Greek Cypriot Parliament will grant permits to Exxon Mobil for exploration of natural resources in the Exclusive Economic Zone in Cyprus by April 18, 2017.

2017 0329 | Troy Ramsbacher | East/South Europe | UNSUCCESSFUL
If Recep Tayyip Erdogan successfully wins the April 16, 2017, referendum, there will be violent protests in Turkey.

2017 0329 | Dylan Fleming | East/South Europe | SUCCESSFUL
Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will not meet face to face by April 18.

2017 0329 | Matt Pologe | Asia | SUCCESSFUL
North Korea will attempt to launch another missile/projectile by April 18.

2017 0320 | Mike Gompper | Western Europe | SUCCESSFUL
By April 17, UK Prime Minister Theresa May will have triggered or invoked Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union.

2017 0316 | Troy Ramsbacher | East/South Europe | SUCCESSFUL
Cypriot leaders Nicos Anastasiades and Mustafa Akinci will not meet to discuss the Cyprus issue under UN sponsorship before the end of March.

2017 0314 | Casey Mallon | Africa | UNSUCCESSFUL
By April 17, Khalifa Haftar and the Libyan National Army will launch a military campaign to move across the Libyan coastline with the intent of capturing Tripoli.

2017 0313 | Matt Pologe | Asia | SUCCESSFUL
North Korea will release the 9 Malaysians restricted from leaving the country before April 18, 2017.

2017 0310 | Dylan Fleming | Eastern/Southern Europe | SUCCESSFUL
The United States will not lift or ease any sanctions on Russia by the end of March 2017.

2017 0306 | Matt Pologe | Asia | UNSUCCESSFUL
By April 15, Air Koryo, the state-owned national carrier airline of North Korea, will no longer be allowed to fly into Malaysia.

2017 0306 | Matt Pologe | Asia | SUCCESSFUL
North Korea will launch another missile/projectile between March 8 and April 15.

2017 0302 | Matt Pologe | Asia | UNSUCCESSFUL
It will be determined by the Malaysian government that Siti Aisyah and Doan Thi Huong should be tried together. This will be determined no later than April 18.

2017 0301 | Matt Pologe | Asia | UNSUCCESSFUL
The United Nations Security Council will impose sanctions on North Korea for having VX nerve agents in its possession. These sanctions will be imposed on no later than March 25.

2017 0224 | Erik Winter | Asia | SUCCESSFUL
I predict that China will agree to talks about a legally binding code of conduct in the South China Sea by March 5, 2017.

2017 0223 | Julia Emory | Asia | UNSUCCESSFUL
I predict that, during the LDP’s March 5, 2017, Convention, the LDP will once again propose revisions to Article 9 to shift the Japanese Armed force from a self-defense force to a national force.

2017 0223 | Matt Pologe | Asia | UNSUCCESSFUL
Kim Jong-un will admit to DPRK involvement in the assassination of Kim Jong-nam before March 10, 2017.

2017 0223 | Jeremy Lee | East/South Europe | SUCCESSFUL
Poland will not comply with the recommendations given to them by the European Union that are due at the end of February

2017 0222 | Michael Gompper | Western Europe | UNSUCCESSFUL
Within the next 48 hours the British House of Lords will conclude its deliberations on the Brexit bill regardless of amendments.

2017 0221 | Austin Mahon | Africa | SUCCESSFUL
I predict with high confidence that President Muhammadu Buhari of Nigeria will not return to Nigeria from his extended medical vacation in London by Thursday at 12:00pm EST.

 

 

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