Please choose up to three topics to cover for this semester, and email them to Dr. J., by order of preference. If you do not see a topic that interests you, feel free to email Dr. J. a customized topic for his approval. Topics in red typeface have been taken and are not available. Priority will be given to existing CIB Analysts who want to repeat last semester’s topic.
Austria: Will the popularity of the radical right continue to grow in Austria in 2018?
Cyprus: Will Cyprus come closer to reunification in 2018?
France: Will terrorist attacks in France occur more frequently in 2018?
Germany: Will the Alternative fur Deutschland continue to grow in strength in 2018?
Greece: Will the leftwing government of Greece survive in 2018?
Holland: Will Holland edge closer to leaving the European Union in 2018?
Hungary: Will Jobik continue to grow in strength in Hungary in 2018?
Immigration: Are we seeing the end of the immigration crisis in Europe?
Italy: Will the migrant crisis that is affecting Italy increase in 2018?
Macedonia: Will political uncertainty increase in Macedonia in 2018?
Poland: Will the Law and Justice Party remain in power in Poland in 2018?
Poland/European Union: Will relations between the EU and Poland continue to worsen in 2018?
Ukraine/Russia: Will the Minsk II agreement in Ukraine collapse in 2018?
United Kingdom/European Union: Will the the UK and the EU divorce on friendly terms?
United Kingdom: Will the conservative British government survive in 2018?
United Kingdom: Will there be a solution in the Ireland/Northern Ireland border dispute in 2018?
United Kingdom: Has the independence campaign by Scottish nationalists benefited by Brexit?
Al-Nusra Front: Will the al-Nusra Front be defeated in Syria in 2018?
Bahrain: Will popular unrest continue in Bahrain?
Iran: Will the Iran nuclear deal hold in 2018?
Iran: Will Iranian-American relations improve in 2018?
Iraq: What are the prospects of an independent Kurdistan in northern Iraq in 2018?
Islamic State: Will ISIS lose its remaining territory in 2018?
Israel/Palestine: How likely is a war between Israel and the Palestinians in 2018?
Saudi Arabia: Will women gain more rights in Saudi Arabia in 2018?
Saudi Arabia/Iran: Will tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia subside in 2018?
Syria: Will the Kurds edge closer to an independent state in Syria in 2018?
Syria: Will ISIS lose control of Raqqa in 2018?
Turkey: Will democracy survive in Turkey in 2018?
Turkey: Will there be another coup or uprising in Turkey in 2018?
Yemen: Who is winning the war in Yemen?
CENTRAL ASIA AND THE ASIAN SUBCONTINENT
Afghanistan: Has the strength of the Islamic State increased in Afghanistan?
Afghanistan: Will the war between the Afghan government and the Taliban end in 2018?
Bangladesh: Will terrorism dissipate in Bangladesh in 2018?
India/Pakistan: What is the likelihood of a military conflict between India and Pakistan in 2018?
India/China: Will the tension in the Himalayas lead to an armed conflict between India and China in 2018?
Kazakhstan: Has the strength of Islamism increased in Kazakhstan?
Natural resources: Will construction of the TAPI natural gas pipeline proceed in 2018?
Uzbekistan: What does the future hold for Uzbekistan after the death of Islam Karimov?
SOUTHEAST ASIA AND THE FAR EAST
China: Has the Uighur independence movement grown stronger in 2018?
China: Which country will become China’s primary gas supplier in the next decade?
China/India: Will the tension in the Himalayas lead to an armed conflict between India and China in 2018?
China/Taiwan: Will China and Taiwan go to war in 2018?
China/United States: Will Chinese-American relations improve in 2018?
China/United States: Will Chinese-American trade agreements collapse in 2018?
Indonesia: Will Islamism continue to rise in Indonesia in 2018?
Japan: Will Japan’s government manage to change Article 9 of the Constitution in 2018?
Myanmar: Will the conflict in Myanmar’s northeast escalate in 2018?
North Korea: Will the North Korean regime remain stable in 2018?
North Korea: Will there be armed conflict between North Korea and the US in 2018?
Philippines/United States: Will the US-Philippine military alliance end in 2018?
Philippines: Has the Duterte government in the Philippines become more stable in 2017?
Philippines: Will the Islamist insurgency in the Philippines dissipate in 2018?
South Korea/North Korea: Will Korean relations improve in 2018?
Thailand: Will Thailand’s government remain in power in 2018?
Thailand: Will the insurgency in southern Thailand dissipate in 2018?
Russia/China: What is the current and projected state of Russian-Chinese relations?
Russia/Turkey: Will Russia’s relations with Turkey continue to improve in 2018?
Russia/Ukraine: Will the Minsk II agreement collapse in 2018?
Russia/United States: Will Russian-American relations continue to improve in 2018?
Russia/West: Will Western sanctions imposed on Russia be lifted in 2018?
Russian Caucasus: What is the state of the Islamist movement in the Russian Caucasus?
Egypt: Has the government of Egypt become more stable in 2018?
Egypt: Has the strength of the Islamic State increased in Egypt?
Libya: Will ISIS be wiped out in Libya in 2018?
Libya: Who is winning the civil war in Libya?
Tunisia: Will the Tunisian government become more stable in 2018?
Burundi: Are we likely to see a civil war in Burundi in 2018?
Central African Republic: Will a civil war erupt in the Central African Republic in 2018?
Congo Democratic Republic: Will we see more or less violence in DR Congo in 2018?
Lord’s Resistance Army: Will the Lord’s Resistance Army be defeated in 2018?
Mali: Will the war in Mali end in 2018?
Nigeria: Will the Niger Delta Avengers grow stronger in 2018?
Nigeria: Will the Nigerian government win its war against Boko Haram in 2018?
Somalia: Will al-Shabaab grow stronger in 2018?
South Africa: Will the ANC’s popularity continue to decline in South Africa in 2018?
South Sudan: Will there be a civil war in South Sudan in 2018?
Zimbabwe: Will ZANU-PF lose power in Zimbabwe in 2018?
Cuba/United States: Will relations between the United States and Cuba improve in 2018?
Mexico: How strong is the Sinaloa Cartel after the arrest of ‘El Chapo’?
United States/China: Will there be a military confrontation between the US and China in 2018?
United States/China: Will US-Chinese relations improve in 2018?
United States/China: Will American-Chinese trade agreements collapse in 2018?
United States/Climate Change: Will the US abandon the Paris Agreement on climate change?
United States/Iran: Will American-Iranian relations improve in 2018?
United States/Mexico: Will a wall begin to be built on the US-Mexican border in 2018?
United States/Mexico: Will relations between Mexico and the United States improve in 2018?
United States/Philippines: Will the US-Philippine military alliance end in 2018?
United States/Russia: Will Russian-American relations continue to improve in 2018?
United States/Taiwan: Will the United States officially recognize Taiwan in 2018?
United States/TPP: Will the United States withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership in 2018?
United States: Is the American far right growing in strength?
SOUTH AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN
Brazil: Will the political crisis continue in Brazil after 2018?
Colombia: Will the peace treaty between the government and the FARC hold in 2018?
Cuba: Will relations between Cuba and the United States improve in 2018?
Venezuela: Will the Venezuelan government remain in power in 2018?
Venezuela: Will there be a civil war in Venezuela in 2018?